Saturday, July 22, 2006

Not so random..

Perfection in imperfection.

Most of the events are so called random events. i mean there r equal probabilities of occurence. and they certainly dont happen that way. but then thats how the the forbidden energy gap between theory and practice happens. Certainly i m not the one to talk abt it for the first time. What i m saying is just the extension of Mr. Murphy.

For a person who is constantly dealing with probailities and games of chance, noticing this fact is not much of a discovery.

To provide perspicacity to the puzzle, let me try and tie the loose ends.

When it comes to indoor games, nothing beats daayakattai and trade, for me. brain stimulating games dont stimulate me. reason is that brain and me r not so closely related and i m a resigned fatalist. so i believe in the concept of " this too shall pass, everything happens by design, types. so a chance happening interests me more than a clearly enunciated logical sequence, which is actually fallacious considering that an engineering degree was supposed to engrain in me , a logical mind or some such funda.

Coming to daayakattai, for all those like minded ppl who indulgence in this extravagant exercise ( exaggeration??), tell me something..u get a zillion daayams in between the game when all ur checkers are out of the jail and u r trying to catch every possible malai. when u come to the dokku, u don get a daayam for life and stay stuck there. also if getting daayam has as much probability as has five or six, then why is it that one gets more fives than daayam? and why does one gets more pandayam when u r inside pazham? when u need a two wwhich is one of the most easily arrivable score, u get 12s, 6s,5s and the 3s and 4s and what not. clearly probaility is not king.

Talk abt the trade game ( or business as some ppl might call), we have this practice of making our own trade game. means we design our own rules, countries, board, colour and the like. while designing the game, sometimes we kind of create power centres by making some countries macho specimens. assume there are 26 countries, u will find that there are certain countries which will ALWAYS rake in more money. does not mean that these are big countries, i m talking abt he frequency of arriving at these places and consequently doling out rents. in our case, i can list 8 places which had garnered max revenue every time we play. so the probability that u arrive at a particular country is not exactly 1/26.

So what are the implications? what does all this mean?

The events point out to a deeper concept. the presence of a superior power which conducts events not necessarily elucidated by man made mathematics. man designed mathematics for conducting his quotidian affairs. the more man tries to do things on the basis of probability, something else tells that there are hidden patterns in everything not readily understood by the intelligent yet ignorant homosapien. he is not meant to be discerning as to understand all the motives of the ALL POWERFUL. so thats where we arrive. life is full of patterns and cycles..

Strangely, i have been caught for a while in a debate with myself, whether all happens for a reason. and every other time, i keep cross validating the statement. and i clearly do not know whether i am for it or against it.

nevertheless, as long as it provides some food for thought..err..food for blog, i m not too worried..nwo its time for another quick game..






3 comments:

Harini said...

Look who is analysing..
Anyway:
"Pattern" is something which keeps haunting me and it is the foundation of all superstitions(atleast in my case) and my deepest faith.

But just think of it this way:
When we look for these similarities or patterns or prototypes we do it wearing blinkers .. like in the game ..We think of chances of a possible win or what can best take us to malai.Probabily we fail to see the game as a whole.Prob the sample set is too small..

Long time back there was a story published in Champak.In that story a guy tells his sister how some number say 4 is lucky for him .. He shows some Ex. like .. His name is 4 letters .. He is born in the 4th month and so on..
His sis calls it a superstition and immediately shows by means of some other EX. of how any other number can be lucky for him...

But ya I love finding such patterns..I can publish a book .. I have so many :-D

Aravindan said...

@harini,

wearing blinkers..yes..but sample space is not too small..i hv been playing trade n daayakattai since childhood ;)

as for the book on patterns, think we can make a plan..send across the book rightaway;)

K7 said...

Dei ... games are language ...

Dayakattai is very popular because logic applied is extremely simple and indians are good at working with combinations and permutations .....
Just like you ;)